NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58aa88964113ca01b0c8493abb086791d4904087f6692c94e29e9ab80717fa0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Bucks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,014,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $988,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,014,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,087 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 21c | 67,048$14,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,032.87 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 20c | 40,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,999.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 20c | 30,290$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,293.84 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Bucks | 80c | 25,051$20,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,040.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 79c | 25,000$19,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,749.95 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Wizards | 21c | 24,537$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,429.67 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 21c | 23,982$5,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,929.67 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 20c | 16,070$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,792.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wizards | 19c | 16,056$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,020.74 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bucks | 79c | 15,453$12,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,207.49 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wizards | 22c | 15,173$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,835.06 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Wizards | 17c | 15,000$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,411.48 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Wizards | 22c | 12,592$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821.83 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 29c | 12,150$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,601.23 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 21c | 12,145$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,646.89 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Bucks | 80c | 12,118$9,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694.02 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Bucks | 80c | 10,619$8,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,495 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 1c | 9,656$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Bucks | 79c | 9,517$7,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,518.58 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bucks | 79c | 9,198$7,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,258.2 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 14c | 8,005$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,851.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Bucks | 80c | 7,997$6,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,397.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 50c | 7,839$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.23 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bucks | 58c | 7,461$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.08 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 79c | 7,353$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810.37 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Wizards | 21c | 6,971$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.06 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Wizards | 19c | 6,407$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.48 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks | 79c | 6,024$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.37 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Bucks | 78c | 5,267$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.75 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Wizards | 22c | 5,177$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.67 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Wizards | 29c | 5,142$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.65 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed Bucks | 10c | 5,000$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bucks | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Wizards | 20c | 5,000$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.97 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed Wizards | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 17c | 4,943$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.27 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Bucks | 80c | 4,723$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.2 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 53c | 4,408$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Wizards | 25c | 4,052$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.8 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Wizards | 23c | 3,898$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 22c | 3,664$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…d5b4backed Wizards | 21c | 3,192$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 21c | 3,187$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.73 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…955abacked Wizards | 22c | 3,135$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks | 71c | 3,104$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.11 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 21c | 3,050$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Bucks | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.99 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wizards | 20c | 2,717$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.74 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Bucks | 76c | 2,710$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.92 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…35d7backed Bucks | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 73cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…d251backed Bucks | 79c | 2,530$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f9…8463backed Wizards | 22c | 2,530$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…eaf9backed Wizards | 21c | 2,385$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…f07dbacked Wizards | 23c | 2,226$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Bucks | 80c | 2,200$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Wizards | 22c | 2,175$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.51 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 27c | 2,083$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.53 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…4067backed Bucks | 80c | 2,057$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bucks | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…1a87backed Bucks | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Bucks | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Bucks | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Wizards | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.96 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Wizards | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.91 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…8c1bbacked Wizards | 21c | 1,978$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Wizards | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.08 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards | 21c | 1,871$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.09 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Bucks | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Wizards | 22c | 1,781$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.54 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Bucks | 80c | 1,751$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.8 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Bucks | 78c | 1,750$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wizards | 21c | 1,748$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.66 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 16c | 1,709$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.11 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Wizards | 22c | 1,591$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.91 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wizards | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Bucks | 74c | 1,494$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Wizards | 17c | 1,400$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.5 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 20c | 1,365$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.04 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Bucks | 78c | 1,300$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Bucks | 79c | 1,270$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.3 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Wizards | 24c | 1,251$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.62 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Bucks | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 3c | 1,230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 3c | 1,229$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6a…627abacked Wizards | 22c | 1,220$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards | 16c | 1,211$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.75 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wizards | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.48 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…af58backed Wizards | 17c | 1,190$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.59 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…f7d5backed Wizards | 22c | 1,173$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 16c | 1,166$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Wizards | 19c | 1,152$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Bucks | 79c | 1,138$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.76 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Wizards | 20c | 1,108$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.18 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bucks | 80c | 1,103$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.15 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Wizards | 22c | 1,050$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Wizards | 16c | 1,001$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.66 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Wizardsthis page
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.