MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe937f455d444d66c29acedba8e0dcfba2efdb70ea7731a961f82e27c1de4c88c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Rangers, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,147,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,133,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,147,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers | 47c | 803,753$374,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374,526.17 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 53c | 549,845$292,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257,142.23 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 54c | 120,691$64,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,726.2 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Rangers | 47c | 69,851$32,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,830.08 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers | 46c | 25,222$11,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,602.12 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rangers | 47c | 24,112$11,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,416.34 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rangers | 47c | 23,333$10,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,966.51 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers | 46c | 22,500$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 53c | 20,059$10,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,401.81 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 53c | 18,021$9,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,469.99 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Astros | 54c | 10,888$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.48 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Astros | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers | 0c | 9,320$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astros | 53c | 7,308$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.84 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 53c | 5,867$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.3 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Astros | 54c | 4,219$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 53c | 2,311$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.66 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Astros | 54c | 1,808$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.68 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 53c | 1,240$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.14 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 53c | 1,189$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.83 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Astros | 54c | 1,062$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.37 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Astros | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Astros | 64c | 1,000$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 65c | 992.79$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.26 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Rangers | 46c | 909$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers | 24c | 834.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 53c | 768$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.96 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 53c | 754.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.44 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Astros | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Astros | 54c | 707.5$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.45 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Astros | 54c | 601$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.46 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 53c | 581.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.22 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Astros | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 46c | 499.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…3adfbacked Rangers | 47c | 460$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rangers | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 53c | 433$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.51 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Astros | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rangers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Rangers | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9954backed Astros | 54c | 383.15$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Astros | 54c | 366.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 53c | 360.87$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 54c | 353.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…fe56backed Astros | 54c | 295$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed Rangers | 47c | 254.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Astros | 54c | 238$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Rangers | 18c | 220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rangers | 22c | 215.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 47c | 202.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Astros | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Astros | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 60c | 167.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Astros | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Astros | 54c | 166$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e8…fa8fbacked Astros | 54c | 165$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Rangers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…213ebacked Astros | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Astros | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Astros | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Astros | 54c | 121.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rangers | 14c | 116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Rangers | 47c | 115$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Astros | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astros | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…d817backed Rangers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Astros | 54c | 105.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rangers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Rangers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Astros | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Astros | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Astros | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…eecdbacked Astros | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…3d87backed Astros | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked Astros | 53c | 90.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x469b…5d1fbacked Rangers | 47c | 86.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…5aa9backed Astros | 54c | 85.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Rangers | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Rangers | 47c | 83.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 192 | 42.2%81 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Astros | 75c | 79.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers | 25c | 78.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rangers | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Rangers | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e15…70ccbacked Rangers | 41c | 73.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Astros | 52c | 72.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rangers | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Astros | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Astrosthis page
- Rangers vs. Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Astros (-1.5)Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.