NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16cf9f8c5997debc4c4d96a5f3ed709d4b3ff1a4bc5afd6797a2f3f97a4f09ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Hornets, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,470,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,528,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,470,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee3b…8dcfbacked Hornets | 25c | 312,296$79,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,413.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bucks | 75c | 257,878$192,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,507.55 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hornets | 23c | 60,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Hornets | 25c | 50,895$12,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,495.3 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Bucks | 50c | 50,050$25,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,024.5 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Hornets | 23c | 42,335$9,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,736.96 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bucks | 78c | 25,792$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.51 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bucks | 77c | 23,393$18,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380.47 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets | 23c | 23,346$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.64 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Bucks | 77c | 21,948$16,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,048.04 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Bucks | 55c | 21,844$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,844.07 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Hornets | 24c | 21,800$5,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223.02 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets | 40c | 21,157$8,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,563.03 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 72c | 17,848$12,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 38c | 15,883$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.73 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 75c | 15,730$11,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Bucks | 77c | 15,524$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hornets | 50c | 14,772$7,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,381.16 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bucks | 75c | 13,584$10,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.89 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 56c | 12,920$7,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.64 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Hornets | 22c | 10,420$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.31 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 49c | 10,022$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Hornets | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…0812backed Hornets | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…e170backed Bucks | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Hornets | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.97 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 77c | 9,370$7,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.4 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Hornets | 32c | 9,311$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.23 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…2289backed Hornets | 23c | 9,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Hornets | 29c | 8,655$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.08 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 76c | 8,510$6,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.98 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets | 51c | 7,432$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.44 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…a24bbacked Hornets | 25c | 6,981$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…f18dbacked Hornets | 25c | 6,981$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 36c | 6,853$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.78 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 66c | 6,228$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.85 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 63c | 6,121$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Bucks | 73c | 6,039$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.54 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hornets | 42c | 5,932$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.15 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 1c | 5,577$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Hornets | 23c | 5,072$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.77 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…a9a7backed Bucks | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…4fdbbacked Hornets | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Bucks | 76c | 4,979$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.96 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Bucks | 77c | 4,900$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets | 35c | 4,890$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.32 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Bucks | 78c | 4,578$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.21 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26b…b267backed Bucks | 77c | 4,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Bucks | 77c | 4,367$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.41 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…6b73backed Bucks | 77c | 4,091$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…b0abbacked Hornets | 23c | 4,082$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 24c | 4,050$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…bddebacked Hornets | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Bucks | 57c | 3,942$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.23 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 71c | 3,670$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.97 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Hornets | 21c | 3,490$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.89 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Bucks | 77c | 3,340$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.12 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…1d52backed Bucks | 77c | 3,200$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Hornets | 38c | 3,000$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 71c | 3,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…7d1cbacked Hornets | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hornets | 22c | 2,932$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.36 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Hornets | 20c | 2,797$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.69 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Bucks | 77c | 2,727$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.27 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…6dfbbacked Bucks | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Hornets | 22c | 2,557$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.24 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 78c | 2,552$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.87 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Hornets | 23c | 2,491$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.94 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bucks | 69c | 2,473$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.68 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…8207backed Bucks | 77c | 2,400$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…986dbacked Hornets | 23c | 2,390$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Hornets | 32c | 2,282$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.44 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…8816backed Hornets | 37c | 2,245$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Hornets | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Hornets | 35c | 2,138$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.38 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Bucks | 79c | 2,000$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…180bbacked Bucks | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Hornets | 51c | 1,986$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.04 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Hornets | 25c | 1,970$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9756…2f01backed Hornets | 28c | 1,919$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961e…5e3bbacked Hornets | 23c | 1,900$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bucks | 76c | 1,896$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.88 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb560…1ce6backed Hornets | 23c | 1,870$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 76c | 1,807$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.64 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…1ff8backed Bucks | 77c | 1,800$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Hornets | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…917cbacked Hornets | 22c | 1,700$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bucks | 72c | 1,666$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.74 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Bucks | 78c | 1,645$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.87 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Hornets | 37c | 1,621$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.65 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Hornets | 29c | 1,592$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hornets | 35c | 1,531$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Bucks | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…2a37backed Bucks | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 77c | 1,494$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.15 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Bucks | 77c | 1,476$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.45 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Bucks | 76c | 1,467$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.3 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hornets | 22c | 1,459$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.76 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…f7d2backed Hornets | 23c | 1,450$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Bucksthis page
- Hornets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.