MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b014b394db307dd44a10ce4e86b8289c2eaba94e18b6012be887849d56a4161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies | 39c | 130,978$50,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,599.55 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 61c | 34,198$20,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,337.38 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 61c | 21,783$13,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,495.34 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 61c | 17,304$10,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,746.82 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 62c | 12,824$7,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.12 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 62c | 11,111$6,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.18 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Padres | 62c | 10,326$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.81 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 63c | 8,882$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.93 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies | 37c | 7,358$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.11 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Rockies | 16c | 6,135$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.51 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Padres | 62c | 6,072$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.64 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Rockies | 36c | 5,023$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 4c | 5,010$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.39 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 61c | 4,364$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.96 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 60c | 4,025$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.01 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Rockies | 0c | 4,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockies | 42c | 3,929$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.67 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 33c | 3,883$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Padres | 64c | 3,325$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rockies | 40c | 2,857$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.38 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Padres | 63c | 2,520$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.4 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 63c | 2,467$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.93 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 62c | 2,217$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Padres | 64c | 2,175$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 36c | 1,350$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…3e2dbacked Rockies | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 65c | 1,198$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rockies | 36c | 1,088$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.68 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rockies | 37c | 1,004$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.47 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Rockies | 9c | 969.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Padres | 61c | 912$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 61c | 820$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.18 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 36c | 745$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 62c | 633$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.35 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Padres | 64c | 577$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rockies | 37c | 540.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Padres | 64c | 522.37$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 63c | 500$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Padres | 63c | 406.35$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Padres | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 63c | 299.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Rockies | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Padres | 64c | 265.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 63c | 264$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rockies | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Rockies | 6c | 262.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rockies | 37c | 236$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Rockies | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Padres | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 79c | 187.07$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Padres | 63c | 184.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies | 37c | 179.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Rockies | 38c | 172.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 30c | 146.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rockies | 37c | 145.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Padres | 61c | 141.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Padres | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Padres | 64c | 112.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Rockies | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Padres | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Rockies | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockies | 12c | 86.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 63c | 76.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Padres | 62c | 62.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rockies | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Rockies | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Padres | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Rockies | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Padres | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Padres | 64c | 38.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Padres | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Padres | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Padres | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Rockies | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Rockies | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3bb8backed Rockies | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Padres | 64c | 16.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Rockiesthis page
- Padres vs. Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.