Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $250 September 8–14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6f1f1bbf5afd96f59821df2f50a57af546360b403c525bc770f141d5a03b3c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $552,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $552,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 37c | 37,840$14,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,185.85 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 43c | 15,204$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.69 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 49c | 12,658$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,238.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked No | 68c | 11,198$7,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.52 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 41c | 11,000$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.87 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 66c | 10,558$6,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 31c | 9,847$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.44 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 72c | 9,070$6,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.66 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 37c | 8,220$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,219.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…d7e9backed No | 49c | 8,169$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed No | 45c | 4,112$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.61 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed No | 44c | 3,959$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 62c | 3,810$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.24 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x501b…2c19backed Yes | 13c | 2,873$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…84dcbacked Yes | 4c | 2,160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 15c | 2,117$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.27 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…a6f0backed Yes | 71c | 2,038$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 59c | 1,854$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.19 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 36c | 1,737$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 49c | 1,377$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.28 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 60c | 1,309$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.86 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a5…7f4ebacked No | 39c | 1,263$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Yes | 28c | 1,243$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.63 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 50c | 1,234$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 73c | 1,143$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.8 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…3545backed Yes | 54c | 1,121$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 45c | 949.32$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.27 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 36c | 900$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…1d68backed Yes | 50c | 814.62$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked No | 47c | 775$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…8dc9backed Yes | 57c | 734.99$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 53c | 658.59$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.69 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 63c | 623.73$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 64c | 589.98$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…cd17backed No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…498ebacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked No | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed No | 39c | 444.08$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 62c | 400$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…e114backed No | 39c | 378.43$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…d9b8backed No | 45c | 349.86$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 326.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.18 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6df1backed No | 71c | 320.94$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2497backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…c11dbacked Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 18c | 282.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…ea30backed No | 13c | 250$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 28c | 240$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02db…64f3backed No | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 34c | 210$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 203$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…d1d4backed Yes | 21c | 190.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 32c | 169.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…472cbacked Yes | 52c | 159.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…4914backed No | 46c | 157.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…983dbacked Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…39babacked Yes | 48c | 132.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 39c | 127.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 64c | 126.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…cd5dbacked No | 69c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…d4dabacked Yes | 40c | 110.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…3da3backed No | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…831cbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfff…b019backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…16e6backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…2c8ebacked Yes | 32c | 99.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…53a3backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…871dbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +118%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 65c | 76.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf8…564ebacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 22c | 66.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…7375backed No | 49c | 64.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…c2b5backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…0bfabacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…6d54backed Yes | 45c | 46.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…66afbacked No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7518…a159backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…2decbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed No | 68c | 36.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…b9c1backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…06e8backed No | 40c | 29.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…1ac7backed No | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02db…76c0backed No | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a03…a867backed Yes | 57c | 17.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $250 September 8–14?this page
- Will Solana dip to $145 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $155 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $165 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $175 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $185 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $195 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $205 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 September 8–14?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $230 September 8–14?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 September 8–14?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $260 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $280 September 8–14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.