Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $240 September 8–14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b8aaefe17f2e8e6a4a371246ac2a505d881166e97d5667f0f4ed4e3c14886c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67f9…d241backed No | 10c | 18,883$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 27c | 14,849$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,772.91 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 40c | 14,025$5,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,416.74 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 49c | 7,849$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.1 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed No | 47c | 7,176$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.52 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 51c | 5,334$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.62 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…d7e9backed No | 43c | 4,710$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 54c | 4,065$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.68 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 16c | 2,469$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,166$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.48 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 68c | 2,124$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 1,548$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6df1backed No | 27c | 1,500$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Yes | 29c | 1,479$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 25c | 1,350$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.68 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 24c | 1,109$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.04 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 70c | 960$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.4 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…7bb3backed Yes | 74c | 800$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…b524backed No | 63c | 774.96$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…a3fdbacked No | 68c | 700$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed No | 15c | 593.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 23c | 517.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2497backed No | 65c | 459.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 401$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed No | 61c | 320$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd1…73b4backed No | 67c | 261.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 52c | 256.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 19c | 215.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…dc0dbacked No | 71c | 154.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked No | 73c | 148.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…b515backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…f738backed No | 62c | 124.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…b163backed No | 78c | 89.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…3545backed Yes | 41c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…728bbacked No | 70c | 60.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 68cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…f927backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…b0c5backed Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc9…1b56backed No | 69c | 36.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…9bb9backed No | 54c | 25.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…01d1backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $240 September 8–14?this page
- Will Solana dip to $145 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $155 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $165 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $175 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $185 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $195 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana dip to $205 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 September 8–14?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $230 September 8–14?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $250 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 September 8–14?No won
- Will Solana reach $280 September 8–14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.