TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66ef…f738

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4761.7%29 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.73
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$13.81
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.41
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$19.48
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.66
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.41
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$14.68
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.21
Will XRP dip to $1.90 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will XRP dip to $1.70 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+26.7%+$10.7
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.17
Will XRP reach $2.00 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.8%+$4.53
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.1%+$19.54
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.98
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.97
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$36.56
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26.7
Will XRP dip to $2.90 September 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.42
Will Solana reach $240 September 8–14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.96
Solana reach 225 September 1–7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+72.3%+$43.39
Solana reach 215 September 1–7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$45.31
Will Bitcoin reach $115K September 1–7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$49.27
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+43.2%+$75.64
Will Solana reach $220 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+101.6%+$85.14
Will Solana reach $230 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+45%+$67.44
Will Solana reach $180 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.21
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-67.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.39
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.16
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$12.79
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.25
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villabacked Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$7.76
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$99.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+144%+$28.81
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$17.04
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+78%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$41.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.