Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582b6ceb3a06fea02c6ddcb17c1350c2cde1473bf923eb5520e42548b26e033c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 15c | 69,908$10,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,223.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 66c | 18,948$12,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,503.99 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…fffbbacked Yes | 25c | 9,291$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +110%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 15c | 8,293$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.21 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 26c | 7,004$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.39 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 21c | 6,579$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.78 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Yes | 33c | 5,500$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.4 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 11c | 5,236$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.01 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 3c | 3,554$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 17c | 3,528$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.8 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…4073backed Yes | 19c | 3,490$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 3,402$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0329…db42backed Yes | 7c | 3,106$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,856$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ee…04c2backed Yes | 8c | 2,697$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 68c | 2,500$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.91 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 12c | 2,414$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.12 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…4d16backed Yes | 44c | 2,258$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 32c | 2,019$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.33 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed Yes | 39c | 2,013$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.88 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…ab69backed Yes | 2c | 1,949$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…ee8dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,864$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…2c4cbacked No | 75c | 1,668$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,580$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 7c | 1,506$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb614…2a44backed Yes | 33c | 1,485$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…c163backed Yes | 5c | 1,459$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 36c | 1,423$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.86 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…c25bbacked No | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…bbe7backed Yes | 26c | 1,369$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed No | 77c | 1,294$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed No | 40c | 1,247$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 7c | 1,201$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 4c | 1,188$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 73c | 1,104$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.71 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,050$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…49debacked No | 75c | 939.73$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 46c | 899.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…63f4backed Yes | 2c | 800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 11c | 760$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9abbbacked Yes | 6c | 744.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 711.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 71c | 707.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfad2…10dabacked No | 76c | 700.99$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…1f6abacked No | 76c | 686.52$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1a…654ebacked Yes | 9c | 630.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 68c | 629.72$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked No | 32c | 624.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 66c | 560$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.67 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…769dbacked Yes | 5c | 555.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 15c | 514.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 508.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked Yes | 8c | 505$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…61b4backed Yes | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cee…ad0fbacked Yes | 18c | 486.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 21c | 473.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe5…94b3backed Yes | 7c | 458.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 7c | 447.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…e223backed Yes | 19c | 416.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…9f44backed Yes | 23c | 410$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…6eb9backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab03…accbbacked Yes | 61c | 399.95$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 78c | 395.85$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…e27cbacked Yes | 25c | 394.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 12c | 374.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed No | 58c | 367.17$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…e698backed Yes | 25c | 357.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 7c | 345.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Yes | 9c | 334.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +161.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…3c96backed Yes | 6c | 327.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…0b97backed Yes | 10c | 316.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 8c | 311.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…c897backed Yes | 10c | 303.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6051…1ff6backed No | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce4…bb54backed Yes | 10c | 266.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…1fedbacked Yes | 10c | 251.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 9c | 238.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…e7f6backed Yes | 10c | 216.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e64…9b93backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 35c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…fee4backed No | 69c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f78…e043backed Yes | 47c | 196.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac00…b58dbacked Yes | 19c | 190.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked Yes | 6c | 189.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 20c | 184.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…1920backed No | 65c | 154.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…cb45backed Yes | 24c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a0…22eebacked Yes | 21c | 142.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked Yes | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7326…d3aebacked No | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92f…f930backed No | 50c | 130.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed No | 80c | 125.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…cd03backed Yes | 9c | 124.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +494.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe63f…398cbacked Yes | 25c | 120.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa679…deb6backed Yes | 17c | 116.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…f4bbbacked No | 61c | 114.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd4…fe7bbacked No | 78c | 113.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…3925backed Yes | 27c | 111.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 66c | 110.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.