Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea2c610405d109589aefcd6cc2199ceddbe124ccf78fef20ec473834eb196a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 27c | 58,198$15,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,746.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 67c | 36,695$24,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,527.3 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 77c | 32,335$25,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,003.61 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 25c | 28,727$7,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,523.89 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 27c | 10,870$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,936.32 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…43ccbacked No | 0c | 10,087$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed No | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc284…ba60backed Yes | 8c | 7,941$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,315.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +322.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…fffbbacked Yes | 8c | 6,301$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +110%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37c…0020backed No | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40b…8c5abacked No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 3c | 3,418$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.22 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 70c | 3,141$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.53 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc107…f2cdbacked Yes | 31c | 2,977$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 65c | 2,867$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,392$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.44 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 29c | 2,250$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.33 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 67c | 2,246$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.57 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 2c | 1,830$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.73 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…b901backed No | 50c | 1,485$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 2c | 1,339$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.92 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0329…db42backed Yes | 8c | 1,277$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked No | 46c | 1,246$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 18c | 1,200$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 10c | 1,101$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.97 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…9f44backed Yes | 9c | 1,056$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 57c | 999.99$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed Yes | 52c | 898$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.06 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 46c | 799.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked No | 76c | 773.2$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…4073backed Yes | 36c | 766.49$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 71c | 725.42$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.46 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 710.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.68 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 43c | 699.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 55c | 619.59$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.49 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…f2bebacked Yes | 25c | 595.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 77c | 590.42$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.69 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed No | 73c | 571.03$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 30c | 558$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.01 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 73c | 552.59$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.9wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 545.54$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.26 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 38c | 525.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.37 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 58c | 519.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…893abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…0131backed No | 79c | 500$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 77c | 452.18$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 68c | 434.54$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 67c | 423.31$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…9eb1backed Yes | 12c | 400$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +266.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…081bbacked No | 54c | 385.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 48c | 360.9$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3205…cc50backed No | 19c | 355.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…c163backed Yes | 5c | 338.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.18 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb614…2a44backed Yes | 33c | 324.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…6dcbbacked No | 28c | 320$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed No | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Yes | 7c | 266.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +303.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…ac29backed No | 80c | 262.08$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…465dbacked Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 42c | 235.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae14…362dbacked Yes | 40c | 230.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 55c | 216.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 59c | 203.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…30a0backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d03…3a52backed Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 11cpaid | +238.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…56a3backed No | 69c | 199.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…7500backed No | 61c | 179.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed No | 76c | 170$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0683…dbf3backed No | 60c | 166.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d3…866cbacked Yes | 17c | 159.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +481.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3f…4851backed Yes | 8c | 153.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,185%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…c35ebacked No | 75c | 150.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…8b81backed Yes | 36c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 8c | 149.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…1517backed Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…8b0fbacked Yes | 36c | 137.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…2770backed Yes | 36c | 137.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…33acbacked No | 16c | 135.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…4e45backed Yes | 35c | 131.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…9aa1backed No | 77c | 129.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…1c40backed Yes | 37c | 121.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…f4bbbacked No | 64c | 120.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…0699backed Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 63c | 115.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…3cacbacked Yes | 18c | 112.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 18c | 108$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 22c | 105.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed Yes | 35c | 104.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 68c | 104$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…3b4cbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2c…2262backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd756…a817backed Yes | 54c | 92.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…0521backed No | 65c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.