Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47dc721faa7dc8308018059cc6b6bea28be4509f3d1233a1ba6dfbfde6fa7afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 48c | 19,073$9,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,932.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37c…0020backed No | 0c | 12,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 35c | 5,161$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.21 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 33c | 4,892$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.9 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 77c | 3,965$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.87 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 70c | 3,198$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.11 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 4c | 2,736$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.66 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 61c | 1,892$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.71 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,690$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.58 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 32c | 1,422$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.19 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 22c | 1,365$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.3 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 15c | 1,086$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.53 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 921.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.97 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 5c | 897.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.81 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 73c | 823.49$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.87 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 26c | 809$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 2c | 690$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.07 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 616.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.88 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 78c | 551.85$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…5d8bbacked Yes | 22c | 461.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 22c | 433.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 3c | 413$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.22 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae14…362dbacked Yes | 17c | 394.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…b6b8backed Yes | 62c | 355.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…13d4backed Yes | 14c | 349.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 69c | 299.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…9e3dbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…6f44backed No | 79c | 249.8$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 28c | 220.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…891fbacked Yes | 28c | 211.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.59 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…9e8dbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d03…3a52backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 11cpaid | +238.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…c1d5backed Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +418.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…c163backed Yes | 12c | 165.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.42 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked Yes | 37c | 161.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Yes | 13c | 157.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +303.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 69c | 145.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked Yes | 26c | 140$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…83a2backed Yes | 37c | 136.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 16c | 119.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…e266backed Yes | 17c | 117.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6997…ceb6backed Yes | 20c | 101.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…2651backed No | 14c | 90.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed Yes | 79c | 68.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 15c | 67.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +306.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 18c | 58.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…e3f8backed Yes | 31c | 52.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…8fa2backed Yes | 22c | 51.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed No | 59c | 33.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…3e7ebacked No | 72c | 20.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7b42backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…c228backed No | 79c | 12.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.9wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.