Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa4e4e7b55e57bfb0edcc5b275eae09ce977af04d298cdf7f47e77c973b3925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $504,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 12c | 34,518$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.65 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…52aebacked Yes | 11c | 22,164$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked No | 80c | 18,500$14,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.99 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 4c | 17,550$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.07 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 10c | 15,708$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.47 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes | 19c | 15,335$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6269…7f8fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 79c | 11,000$8,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 10,193$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.17 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes | 21c | 7,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 6,721$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.32 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 79c | 6,531$5,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 19c | 6,460$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.54 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 19c | 6,157$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.83 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…dc20backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 5,882$4,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.04 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…b1b4backed Yes | 17c | 5,725$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 21c | 5,355$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 79c | 4,034$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.14 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 78c | 3,781$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.88 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 3,387$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.02 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 79c | 2,918$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.01 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 20c | 2,902$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.35 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…8266backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…44fcbacked Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 20c | 2,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 79c | 2,246$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.17 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…b6c3backed Yes | 22c | 1,746$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 21c | 1,595$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes | 21c | 1,586$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 80c | 1,550$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 20c | 1,489$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,376$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.86 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,320$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Yes | 18c | 1,285$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe104…d3f7backed Yes | 6c | 1,265$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 79c | 1,184$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d6…8727backed Yes | 20c | 1,137$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 79c | 1,040$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.46 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…f270backed Yes | 3c | 972$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed No | 80c | 715.66$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…f59cbacked Yes | 2c | 638.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed No | 80c | 626.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…2933backed Yes | 20c | 603.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…e31fbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…0365backed Yes | 17c | 581$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…eaaebacked Yes | 19c | 569.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf63…a858backed Yes | 17c | 565$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…c317backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Yes | 4c | 550$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…fb28backed Yes | 18c | 545$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked No | 79c | 530$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…a990backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 17c | 526.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 18c | 522.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…e8d4backed Yes | 21c | 508.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 21c | 504.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…0654backed Yes | 22c | 502.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked No | 79c | 500.02$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…b803backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…1902backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Yes | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 20c | 497.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2989…5053backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…3176backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…9a31backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde13…2310backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…e51dbacked Yes | 21c | 464.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 21c | 462.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…9b48backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…f1d7backed Yes | 20c | 443.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 17c | 441.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.