TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9078…f1d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+520.5%+$65.06
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$12.29
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$9.86
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$9.68
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.31
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$4.37
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$6.25
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.23
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$22.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$18.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$12.95
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$392.45
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.37
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$13.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$64.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.