Asian League · resolved market
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x713bc403375c9604263ecb4b69c42e7365dc0ecfc831bd143cc9f018bd09e502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 54c | 1,595$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.28 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Yes | 47c | 1,234$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 47c | 997.18$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.92 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 882.43$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.1 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 660.18$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 653.26$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.69 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 368.22$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 62c | 343.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 331.95$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 52c | 296.08$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 289.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.14 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 52c | 285.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.66 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Yes | 46c | 270.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…d3b5backed Yes | 46c | 230.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 48c | 116.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 53c | 98.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 53c | 78.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 68.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 54c | 61.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…f1d7backed Yes | 48c | 46.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 38.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…a565backed Yes | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Yes | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 52c | 20.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)Tōkyō Verdy won
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Kashiwa Reysol 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Kashiwa Reysol O/U 1.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Kashiwa Reysol O/U 2.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Tōkyō Verdy 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Tōkyō Verdy O/U 0.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Tōkyō Verdy O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.