TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Kashiwa Reysolof Kashiwa Reysol, Tōkyō Verdy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,023 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Kashiwa Reysol11c2,413$276 inWon+$2,137.52,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Kashiwa Reysol24c122.2$29 inWon+$93.2935751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Kashiwa Reysol25c75$19 inWon+$56.2516929%49 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Tōkyō Verdy75c70$53 inLost-$52.593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Tōkyō Verdy76c65.79$50 inLost-$501471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kashiwa Reysol24c65.79$16 inWon+$5013644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Kashiwa Reysol21c50$11 inWon+$39.589245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…1e03backed Tōkyō Verdy79c50$40 inLost-$39.5850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ba…b677backed Tōkyō Verdy75c41.18$31 inLost-$3140%0 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Kashiwa Reysol66c25$17 inWon+$8.444152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Tōkyō Verdy75c22$17 inLost-$16.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Tōkyō Verdy80c18.77$15 inLost-$15.023278.1%25 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick78cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Tōkyō Verdy79c13$10 inLost-$10.273053.3%16 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+54.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.