Asian League · resolved market

Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe37796800c594aba284531de7a8fd4ec150bc3f91c9f1e2659f761c83baacd72

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $70,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,182 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x86da…6428backed Over	41c	36,753$15,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,684.41	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	59c	16,465$9,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,714.35	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-7.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	59c	13,147$7,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,756.54	735	38.6%284 W · 451 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	58c	4,587$2,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,676.53	261	36.8%96 W · 165 L	-18.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	30c	3,630$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.31	5,910	46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L	+50.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under	59c	3,051$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.98	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.99	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	41c	2,634$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,553.95	1,306	56.9%743 W · 563 L	+67.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	11c	2,040$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.75	121	39.7%48 W · 73 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Under	37c	1,632$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.64	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	37cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	76c	1,316$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.79	246	54.1%133 W · 113 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	75c	1,290$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.34	2,467	40.3%993 W · 1,474 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under	41c	1,000$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over	40c	834$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.4	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+6.3wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over	40c	834$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.4	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	38c	827.13$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.37	1,617	36.3%587 W · 1,030 L	-34.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Over	42c	476.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.19	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	33cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over	41c	402.04$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.67	148	49.3%73 W · 75 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Under	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	73c	359.38$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.13	876	45.1%395 W · 481 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Over	71c	333$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.57	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under	59c	329.3$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.29	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-5.2wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	76c	326.32$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.32	334	52.7%176 W · 158 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	58c	317.51$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.98	1,707	50.6%863 W · 844 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc09b…1478backed Over	40c	300$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	34cpaid	+170.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under	59c	286.75$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.18	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	40c	253.58$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.15	217	54.4%118 W · 99 L	+10.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under	59c	250$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.5	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Over	40c	227.45$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.47	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	59c	205.31$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.13	87	41.4%36 W · 51 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	71c	191.48$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.06	132	43.9%58 W · 74 L	-10.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	59c	171$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.89	165	41.2%68 W · 97 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	74c	149.6$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.61	2,397	37.8%905 W · 1,492 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under	61c	140$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.4	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	42c	128.61$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.97	1,434	35.2%505 W · 929 L	-36.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	41c	120$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.8	357	51%182 W · 175 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	41c	104.31$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.5	192	56.8%109 W · 83 L	+14.5wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	58c	104.31$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.5	285	32.3%92 W · 193 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.5	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-7.2wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Over	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	31c	98.73$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.61	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	40c	94.7$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.82	375	62.7%235 W · 140 L	+61.4wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	39c	94$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.34	1,109	46.2%512 W · 597 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf9…d602backed Over	80c	91$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	54c	89.75$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.45	434	52.1%226 W · 208 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Under	41c	88.58$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	40c	87.4$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.44	395	61.8%244 W · 151 L	+56.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under	58c	86.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	41c	85.24$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.29	243	48.6%118 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked Under	59c	83.39$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-5.2wins	-0.20per pick	55cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	30c	67.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	192	68.2%131 W · 61 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5dd…9be0backed Under	33c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	40.6%41 W · 60 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd806…5131backed Over	67c	56.79$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.79	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Under	59c	53.14$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.35	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	33c	53.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	968	46.1%446 W · 522 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	29c	50.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.66	251	55.8%140 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under	59c	47.27$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	58c	46$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.68	321	54.2%174 W · 147 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	39c	46$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.06	1,651	50.9%840 W · 811 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	28c	45.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.71	371	53.9%200 W · 171 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	42c	45.24$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.24	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Over	67c	44.76$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.76	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	40c	40.79$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.47	762	55.9%426 W · 336 L	+38.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under	59c	37$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	41c	32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.88	136	44.9%61 W · 75 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Under	49c	30.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	54c	28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.97	123	46.3%57 W · 66 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f88…0c5cbacked Over	42c	26.74$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Over	40c	26.34$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.7	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Under	61c	24.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8dd…f591backed Over	43c	23.9$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Under	59c	22.03$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe07d…4ee1backed Over	51c	20.43$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.01	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)Tōkyō Verdy won
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Kashiwa Reysol 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Kashiwa Reysol O/U 1.5Over won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Kashiwa Reysol O/U 2.5Over won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 0.5Over won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5Over won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5Over won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 4.5Under won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 5.5Under won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Tōkyō Verdy 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Tōkyō Verdy O/U 0.5Over won
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Tōkyō Verdy O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event