Champions League · resolved market
FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e666dc944674de2a7d7ced27613a4cfbe98c668188db9477a082194fc8d2c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 732.24$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.36 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 17c | 607.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 39c | 393.38$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Yes | 31c | 320.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.83 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 61c | 231$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 80c | 208.72$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 52c | 194.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 148.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Yes | 62c | 118.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 78.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 61c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…f1d7backed Yes | 66c | 60.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 58.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 56.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefc…f599backed Yes | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 46.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 77c | 42.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 61c | 36.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed Yes | 72c | 34.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…8823backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 38c | 31.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 28.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 72c | 24.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…85c8backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Thun (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: FC Thun (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)FC Thun won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)FC Thun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.