Champions League · resolved market
Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7656f1256d77ec89f91fb7265dbf099e7f16ca40cc31266aa6e70f60ad51d4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Thunof GNK Dinamo Zagreb, FC Thun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8c | 2,270$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 30c | 1,347$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Thun | 77c | 1,232$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.4 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Thun | 71c | 437.71$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 29c | 341.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Thun | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FC Thun | 71c | 273.5$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 28c | 207$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed FC Thun | 70c | 82.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Thun | 72c | 70.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…1aeabacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC Thun | 72c | 57.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…35cebacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked FC Thun | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Thun | 71c | 45.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 29c | 45.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 24c | 44.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Thun | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…3b42backed FC Thun | 76c | 41.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Thun | 73c | 40.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FC Thun | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FC Thun | 72c | 39.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…50abbacked FC Thun | 76c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed FC Thun | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)this page
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Thun (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: FC Thun (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)FC Thun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.