Champions League · resolved market
FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4680d3a64df601968718a80c200c40af447c712422cb8bffd5373b1679a113ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 57c | 4,189$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.3 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 4,172$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.29 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 2,504$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 60c | 1,891$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.9 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 2c | 1,707$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 1,608$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.18 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,413$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.87 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 40c | 1,374$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.6 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 3c | 1,345$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 195 | 35.9%70 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 78c | 1,045$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 21c | 1,010$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.45 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 4c | 751.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 40c | 562.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 53c | 509.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.24 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 17c | 484.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Over | 58c | 446.02$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 24c | 416.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 39c | 405.49$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.65 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked Over | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked Over | 61c | 329.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 300.62$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 297.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 277 | 50.2%139 W · 138 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Under | 76c | 274.46$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 59c | 263.49$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 230$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Over | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 22c | 195.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 191.09$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 7c | 188.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…74d3backed Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 43c | 170.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 166.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 47c | 162.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 31c | 125.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 119.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 202 | 56.9%115 W · 87 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Over | 58c | 117.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 59c | 88.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 63cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 71c | 82.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 76.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 53c | 71.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…7fdbbacked Under | 33c | 65.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…b4eabacked Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 41c | 58.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked Under | 41c | 48.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 48c | 47.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 41c | 47.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 45c | 44.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 26c | 41.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 247 | 52.2%129 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 47c | 34.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…ef36backed Over | 61c | 34.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 48c | 33.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb3…31afbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Under | 45c | 33.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…f1b8backed Over | 54c | 32.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Over | 58c | 30.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 26.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 48c | 22.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +13.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 60c | 20.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…85c8backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Thun (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: FC Thun (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)FC Thun won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)FC Thun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.