Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb418179b9dfd2c39ce965489b29760eebc0f12349712c4aadb981bd8b7aef26e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $798,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $908,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 40c | 90,269$36,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,508.01 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 52c | 70,291$36,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,516.97 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 47,563$24,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,158.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Over | 54c | 45,264$24,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,827.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 54c | 45,175$24,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,924.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 47c | 42,113$19,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,141.87 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 47c | 35,243$16,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,621.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 32,191$15,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,173.41 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 48c | 30,208$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,499.87 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 48c | 23,055$11,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,055.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 52c | 19,230$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.37 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Over | 75c | 11,219$8,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 9,630$5,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463.26 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Under | 50c | 9,615$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 50c | 8,704$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.89 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 54c | 8,485$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 53c | 8,337$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954.67 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 8,248$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.36 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 8,215$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.19 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 7,882$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.52 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 7,349$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Under | 46c | 7,051$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.97 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 6,667$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.77 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 46c | 6,581$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 47c | 6,330$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Over | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Over | 58c | 5,389$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 5,349$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.59 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 28c | 4,100$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 45c | 4,056$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.64 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.93 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 53c | 3,773$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.31 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 53c | 3,711$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.86 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 3,400$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.89 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 48c | 3,221$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.43 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 48c | 3,100$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.81 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Over | 52c | 3,075$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 52c | 3,050$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 46c | 2,952$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.77 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 47c | 2,883$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 54c | 2,782$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 46c | 2,704$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.84 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Over | 51c | 2,634$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 60c | 2,564$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.08 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 2,532$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.35 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Over | 52c | 2,524$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.99 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 34c | 2,219$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 47c | 2,130$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.53 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 2,077$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.58 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.94 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 48c | 1,997$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Over | 55c | 1,919$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…c9e9backed Over | 53c | 1,864$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Over | 53c | 1,855$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 1,800$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.78 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…6d59backed Over | 54c | 1,772$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 1,485$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.04 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 1,421$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.3 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 41c | 1,411$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.76 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 5c | 1,409$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…03ddbacked Over | 53c | 1,372$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 48c | 1,287$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.94 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Over | 53c | 1,145$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 53c | 1,140$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 55c | 1,088$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 1,061$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.99 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…c7e0backed Over | 55c | 1,024$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 7c | 977.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 54c | 966.64$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 46c | 930.55$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.83 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 55c | 910.15$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.57 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 886.5$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.52 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…6f49backed Over | 47c | 872.74$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 39c | 848.55$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.28 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 38c | 830.46$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.56 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.