Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2a3bd4d6ed5c07d20185b430346d10e9490b16922149a7115c21ec08d6ec41e

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $127,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $141,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,550 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over	56c	16,461$9,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,274.75	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	8,072$4,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,389.24	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	44c	4,505$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	81	16%13 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over	56c	4,127$2,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,797.45	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+5.8wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over	26c	4,059$1,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,003.99	205	45.4%93 W · 112 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over	49c	4,044$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,043.73	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	51c	3,034$1,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,533.1	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under	54c	2,618$1,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406.66	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	12c	2,438$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,139.95	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	16c	2,372$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,001.52	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	16c	2,349$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,975.57	86	37.2%32 W · 54 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	14c	2,000$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,719.99	136	30.9%42 W · 94 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over	7c	1,556$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.44	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under	68c	1,477$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	26c	1,005$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.86	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Over	55c	999.99$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.13	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	14c	902.32$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.5	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	36c	850.99$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.06	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	49c	778.77$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.77	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over	55c	699.23$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.35	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	16c	625$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	18cpaid	+203%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over	34c	588.32$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.32	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over	28c	559.86$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.86	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over	55c	500$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.62	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	15c	500$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	27c	499.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.49	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over	27c	364.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.82	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under	57c	361.1$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.35	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	42cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Over	56c	356.51$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.51	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over	15c	350.85$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.85	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over	15c	333.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.33	100	31%31 W · 69 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	11c	320.34$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.67	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	6c	294$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.18	1,012	33.2%336 W · 676 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over	16c	270.25$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.01	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+3.6wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	49c	241.45$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.3	212	50%106 W · 106 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over	55c	239.99$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over	10c	239.06$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.88	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	15c	233.33$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.33	228	32.9%75 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over	43c	233.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.1	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under	46c	218.69$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.39	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	44c	215.79$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.43	162	38.3%62 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	44c	207.99$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.71	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.6	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-5.0wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	15c	200$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	543	40.5%220 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under	70c	200$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	36c	191.04$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.67	209	56%117 W · 92 L	+15.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over	55c	181.91$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.91	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	34c	180.9$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.21	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Over	58c	172.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.71	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Over	14c	166.66$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.33	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over	15c	165.87$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.99	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over	57c	159.42$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.71	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-11.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	44c	148$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.12	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Over	34c	145$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ee…1183backed Over	57c	144.11$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e2…20ccbacked Under	61c	141.74$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.46	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under	74c	135.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a4…6f49backed Over	52c	134.41$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.92	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Under	67c	131.78$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.29	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1e…613bbacked Over	24c	131.52$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	36c	130.56$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.8	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	15c	122.57$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.18	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Over	58c	120.9$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.9	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under	48c	112.73$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under	66c	112$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.92	83	65.1%54 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	73c	111$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.92	192	44.8%86 W · 106 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	57c	108.86$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.86	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Under	48c	107.57$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.39	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over	14c	107.38$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.51	50	18%9 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+127.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under	51c	105.49$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.71	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under	24c	105.49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	72cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under	44c	104.55$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over	49c	102.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.25	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	57c	101.93$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.93	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.32	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	26c	97.72$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.72	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Under	61c	94.53$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.49	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6de8…f103backed Under	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under	67c	88.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under	54c	87.71$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.35	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over	56c	87.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.4	162	36.4%59 W · 103 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aba…94aebacked Over	55c	81.97$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.97	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	68cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under	58c	81.14$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.14	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Under	80c	80$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-5.1wins	-0.43per pick	68cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under	73c	80$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.4	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	15c	79.49$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.33	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3803…765ebacked Under	79c	76.32$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.18	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	35c	70.34$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.51	140	55%77 W · 63 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Over	47c	70.17$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over	39c	64.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.17	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	48c	63.2$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.67	164	54.9%90 W · 74 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Under	67c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over	33c	49.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.64	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5325…c31dbacked Under	46c	45.65$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8977…6579backed Under	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Over	57c	43.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.98	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under	69c	43.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac50…d728backed Over	32c	43.08$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.08	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under	62c	41.95$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5this page
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5Over won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event