Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6283a389af940c87f2e6afea8c84ddccf7bef0e94cb8a1bd6ba9949b03e67aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 2c | 28,515$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,887.93 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 14c | 4,205$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.91 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 18c | 3,877$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Under | 76c | 3,500$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 6c | 2,886$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.06 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 8c | 2,316$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.2 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 1,200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.35 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 6c | 1,123$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.13 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 5c | 1,098$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.67 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5978backed Under | 6c | 1,074$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 23c | 1,074$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.96 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 8c | 600$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.6 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 5c | 544.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.12 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Over | 22c | 513.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.99 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 7c | 443.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +203%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 49c | 357.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 25c | 349.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.47 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 6c | 279.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 7c | 278.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.05 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 32c | 212.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 12c | 205.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…9889backed Over | 12c | 116.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed Under | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Over | 19c | 98.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 25c | 93.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Over | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 20c | 71.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 30c | 67.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 53c | 54.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…226abacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…924cbacked Over | 26c | 47.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed Over | 26c | 45.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Under | 72c | 37.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…d68bbacked Under | 72c | 26.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 54c | 22.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 73c | 19.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.