Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd5a3b50c3e0055fe9ebb23c34d796d592705a995c9ade4d199889584985219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 62c | 44,875$27,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,877.99 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…0a9ebacked Under | 69c | 25,435$17,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,584.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked Under | 68c | 20,879$14,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,249.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 20,838$6,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,147.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Under | 1c | 20,775$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Under | 69c | 20,686$14,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,368.66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 19,828$9,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,440.54 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 38c | 15,584$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,712.72 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 15,022$5,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,313.44 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 32c | 12,610$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,574.97 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 33c | 10,441$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.58 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 80c | 9,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Over | 31c | 8,004$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,504.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 35c | 7,879$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.88 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 62c | 6,656$4,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126.58 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Over | 74c | 6,378$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Under | 32c | 5,840$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.51 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 31c | 5,622$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.38 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 30c | 4,800$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 30c | 4,799$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Over | 31c | 4,516$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.13 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 30c | 4,244$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.57 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 4,015$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.93 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 3,767$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.95 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 33c | 3,042$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.78 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 44c | 2,893$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.36 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 2,500$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.94 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 30c | 2,400$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8255backed Over | 32c | 2,283$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 32c | 2,093$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.66 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Over | 35c | 2,051$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Over | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 34c | 1,453$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.37 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 35c | 1,377$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.95 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 68c | 1,296$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.74 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed Over | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 34c | 1,170$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.82 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 1,168$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.05 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 61c | 1,164$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.1 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 30c | 1,040$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 31c | 941.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.94 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 33c | 910.05$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 33c | 836.97$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.66 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 29c | 750$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Over | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 70c | 709.87$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 31c | 709.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 670.64$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.87 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 660.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.18 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 30c | 659.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.98 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 33c | 603.03$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 31c | 599.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.67 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c6…c164backed Under | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 20c | 575.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 31c | 559.25$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 19c | 550$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 65c | 549.97$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 70c | 522.54$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 69c | 478$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.82 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 470.86$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.4 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 38c | 450.54$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.93 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 40c | 419.44$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 39c | 417.76$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 35c | 415.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.65 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 27c | 389.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.66 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Over | 31c | 379.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 35c | 364.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.78 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…4b5fbacked Under | 75c | 363.24$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 30c | 349.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Under | 69c | 318.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Over | 39c | 312.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 69c | 272.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 66c | 270.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 34c | 266.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.55 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 38c | 262.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.42 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 37c | 257.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 37c | 248.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 71c | 235.46$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Under | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 38c | 218.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 211.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.17 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 211.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 44c | 207.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 68c | 202.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 33c | 200$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 32c | 198.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 22c | 180.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.