TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32be…6da7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10349.5%51 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,953Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$1,329.2
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,321.66
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,246.84
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+187.6%+$1,043.6
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,633Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$7,458.88
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,551.26
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$798.11
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.01
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$825.05
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.22
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$634.06
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$389.74
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.01
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$440.82
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$472.48
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.22
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,819Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,317.42
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.2
Sunderland AFC to score first vs. Ipswich Town FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$282.94
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,140.01
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Coventry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.42
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,619.77
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.3
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$178.16
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$300.25
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.4
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.74
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$80.76
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.35
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Liam Broadybacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$199.96
Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.68
Croatia Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$246.39
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,953Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,414.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$900.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.