South American Leagues · resolved market

Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb928ca4fb7dcfb3642dfc94363674b68ec5442a4fd378c4f70de13adc61a0c7d

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $119,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $124,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,090 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	52c	34,854$18,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,108.9	668	37.1%248 W · 420 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under	48c	22,487$10,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,693.08	199	52.8%105 W · 94 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over	49c	21,220$10,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,397.87	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,799.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	65c	17,665$11,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,162.02	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	34c	8,328$2,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,807.15	752	40.8%307 W · 445 L	-17.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	54c	4,020$2,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,831.11	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	22c	3,731$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.8	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under	49c	3,307$1,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,689.44	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	43c	2,809$1,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,205.15	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	18c	2,368$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.87	1,302	50.2%653 W · 649 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under	48c	2,073$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.81	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under	50c	1,905$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.28	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over	49c	1,566$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.34	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	3c	1,363$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under	48c	1,202$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under	49c	1,200$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	20c	1,149$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.22	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	48c	1,125$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.74	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	48c	1,113$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.31	2,335	51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	48c	1,041$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.32	1,355	49.7%674 W · 681 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-7.8wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	53c	810.04$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.92	290	37.9%110 W · 180 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	19c	694.42$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.94	191	35.1%67 W · 124 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under	48c	630$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.6	130	49.2%64 W · 66 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over	49c	580$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.2	150	45.3%68 W · 82 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	48c	566.34$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.5	1,651	50.6%836 W · 815 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	50c	508.77$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.39	1,944	51.3%998 W · 946 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over	57c	491.23$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	50c	299.99$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.02	559	46%257 W · 302 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c6…4727backed Over	51c	280.39$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	49c	230.88$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.13	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	50c	210.83$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.62	1,282	53.7%689 W · 593 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa544…0c80backed Over	52c	192.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.08	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.9wins	+0.30per pick	47cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over	49c	165.62$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.66	694	53.5%371 W · 323 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	51c	153.91$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.42	1,231	53.9%663 W · 568 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over	49c	153.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over	44c	149.48$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.23	331	52.6%174 W · 157 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	50c	142$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.62	491	36.3%178 W · 313 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over	20c	137.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.49	464	49.6%230 W · 234 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	51c	132.22$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.81	2,611	54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over	48c	112.07$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.5	506	56.3%285 W · 221 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.5	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf98…0924backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Under	47c	93.61$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.61	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	50c	84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	720	58.8%423 W · 297 L	+29.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over	49c	80.72$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.95	601	56.2%338 W · 263 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	49c	80.36$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.75	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	63c	75.31$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.7	256	35.9%92 W · 164 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under	49c	71.42$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.42	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	50c	66.7$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.18	1,439	37.5%540 W · 899 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	50c	64$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	179	51.4%92 W · 87 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	53c	62.45$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.15	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Over	50c	59.98$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb660…e86dbacked Under	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.03	350	46.3%162 W · 188 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under	48c	40.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.97	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Over	45c	39.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	67	68.7%46 W · 21 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under	58c	37.93$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.93	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	54c	34.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.64	416	54.3%226 W · 190 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked Over	49c	33.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.44	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Over	52c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+50%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Under	50c	31.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.77	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	52c	30.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	787	56.4%444 W · 343 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over	46c	30.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	87	60.9%53 W · 34 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under	46c	30.04$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.22	60	65%39 W · 21 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	46c	29.39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	97	40.2%39 W · 58 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa411…0da6backed Over	57c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Under	49c	22.64$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.48	25	56%14 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb224…dfa6backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x807a…3be2backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe682…dbcdbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06fd…2688backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.23per pick	50cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over	51c	19.68$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	118	61.9%73 W · 45 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under	80c	12.52$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	60	78.3%47 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	80cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5this page
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Under won
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 0.5Under won
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Under won
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5Under won
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Under won
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event