TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Club Tijuanaof Atlético San Luis, Club Tijuana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,072 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Atlético San Luis10c11,075$1,082 inLost-$1,081.735,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlético San Luis21c2,294$482 inLost-$481.672,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Atlético San Luis21c957.72$201 inLost-$201.121,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Club Tijuana80c884.27$707 inWon+$176.915045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8c…c7b5backed Atlético San Luis22c601.89$132 inLost-$132.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-62.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Club Tijuana79c477$377 inWon+$100.1742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Atlético San Luis12c400.04$47 inLost-$47.0546449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlético San Luis5c324.75$15 inLost-$15.425635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Atlético San Luis10c191.5$19 inLost-$19.152626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Atlético San Luis22c151.5$33 inLost-$33.333935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Club Tijuana79c128$101 inWon+$26.8849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Atlético San Luis21c113.56$24 inLost-$23.831,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Atlético San Luis10c100$10 inLost-$108937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Club Tijuana79c76.56$60 inWon+$16.085168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Atlético San Luis18c75.78$14 inLost-$13.6419711.2%22 W · 175 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Club Tijuana79c47.04$37 inWon+$9.8819340.4%78 W · 115 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Club Tijuana79c36$28 inWon+$7.5689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Club Tijuana79c27$21 inWon+$5.672,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Club Tijuana74c24$18 inWon+$6.2419150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Club Tijuana79c17$13 inWon+$3.5772258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.