South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe8ac66a268e0f2dcef6bcdd1bc465045517a0a916df207292827eca5d0ec8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 44c | 9,675$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 6,708$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.53 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 6,535$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 78c | 3,011$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.86 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 621.47$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Over | 28c | 568.64$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 67c | 504.79$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 49c | 481.64$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 481.62$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.58 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 37c | 475.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 47c | 426.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 51c | 406.17$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.51 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Over | 42c | 352.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 68c | 348.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.34 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 50c | 318.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.34 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Under | 7c | 302.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.06 | 74 | 10.8%8 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 44c | 266$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.56 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Over | 43c | 224.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 64c | 222.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 53c | 203.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 53c | 187.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 6c | 172.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.91 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 29c | 168.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 29c | 168.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 55c | 109.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…8341backed Under | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe73b…9b19backed Over | 54c | 92.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 31c | 87.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 56c | 82.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 63c | 81.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 53c | 75.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 16c | 69.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 51c | 61.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 50c | 57.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Under | 48c | 47.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 72c | 37.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…baf9backed Over | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…cc94backed Under | 75c | 26.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 78c | 25.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 67c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 61c | 20.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…09d4backed Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 0.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.