South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3abc82f4a949c83909d5a0c9f28b1a0bb52b51a4858440549feac0cecb265f44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 10,274$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.65 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 79c | 9,219$7,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.73 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 24c | 5,395$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.22 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 70c | 3,800$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 2,739$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 8c | 294.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 278.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 76c | 242.14$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 76c | 242.14$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 6c | 237.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 27c | 156$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 139.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 77c | 133$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 97.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 70c | 96.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 19c | 82.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 73.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 28c | 63.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 69c | 50.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 71c | 44.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 29c | 40.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 29c | 35.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 76c | 27.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 68c | 23.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…e3b5backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 70c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.