TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No54c27,778$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,777.782347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes46c26,151$12,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,029.393250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed No52c17,915$9,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,598.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Yes48c17,286$8,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,297.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No50c14,575$7,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,287.562343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed No51c6,370$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.121080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+60.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Yes48c4,788$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf97…2cb3backed No57c4,651$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.99560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes43c4,609$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.242835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes55c4,489$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.46850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes48c4,080$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.269451.1%48 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c3,510$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.271,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c3,164$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.791,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2251580%12 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No52c2,369$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1372,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Yes47c2,346$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.72040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Yes48c2,027$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+89.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98011657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes33c1,883$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.91,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c1,602$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.469448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes46c1,553$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.253551.4%18 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No52c1,365$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.22,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No52c1,270$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.64254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003010%3 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf731…f751backed Yes1c1,002$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes49c929.57$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.054454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes47c922$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.349050%45 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No46c846.39$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.789056.7%51 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c726.54$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes47c685.47$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6110839.8%43 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Yes51c670.06$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No46c600$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3279852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes50c591.35$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.196639.4%26 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No50c567.99$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1431430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Yes49c545.23$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-74.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c517.48$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1266150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No54c499.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes50c498.1$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2492835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No45c497.21$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8117446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…af1cbacked Yes53c469.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes56c463.39$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.74431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Yes49c420$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No58c406.67$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.91030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes49c400.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2297346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No52c393.46$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.864770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes48c359.72$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.672524%6 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes50c357.47$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.163259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes41c347.87$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8810537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed No80c333$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.61392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick70cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14412254.1%66 W · 56 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes45c286.7$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2336356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked No59c283.08$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-48.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes31c281.7$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-83.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes49c256$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4427545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50358.6%3 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes45c239.71$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.927554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…fd2ebacked Yes45c235.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes16c233$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2819250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Yes51c228.94$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.041741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71ba…dc2bbacked Yes20c227.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.581513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes49c225$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No49c220.41$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8437926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Yes48c206.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No49c206.18$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.152969%20 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No53c204.66$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1910249%50 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No50c202.81$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.418245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a0…111abacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes52c192.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993225%8 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes47c189$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9412941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes48c175.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.651,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c163.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes31c160.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4227644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed No49c158$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.58850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No46c156.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2137043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No44c155.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.547157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c147.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4231849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes43c139.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5c…c372backed Yes52c137.29$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No44c137.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7674155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes48c133.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.071428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes51c129.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Yes49c124.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Yes49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No27c120.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.91643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes46c117.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.612454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Yes51c111.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-69.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.