Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x754bdd97a85bce997efe9e1b559039aa8e8f194bcdc4fcc965eed035a16cf79b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 26c | 9,978$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 9,064$6,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.51 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 44c | 2,260$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.42 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 1,944$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.29 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 27c | 1,788$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.45 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 1,773$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,687$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.38 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 1,514$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.36 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 955.5$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.43 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 813.76$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.47 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 796.6$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed No | 56c | 714.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 675$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.84 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 489.07$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 27c | 338.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 74c | 312$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 11c | 279.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 258.69$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 58c | 214.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 56c | 202$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 186$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 26c | 161.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…8189backed Yes | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 23c | 112.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 72c | 99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 92.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 74c | 89.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 74c | 86.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 84.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 74c | 75.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 69.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 41c | 66.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 74c | 64.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 32c | 64.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 72c | 60.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 68c | 52.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 75c | 51.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9247…02fbbacked Yes | 30c | 50.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Yes | 35c | 42.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 28c | 40.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…4200backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…b727backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 66c | 37.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed No | 73c | 34.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 68c | 26.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 75c | 22.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 61c | 22.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.