Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06cd8135597a6e9a81700c0053a6673a1603215012cf84f6eac060b664bcdbd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 50,637$20,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,545.24 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed No | 60c | 46,518$27,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,613.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 25c | 20,449$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 10,148$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.32 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 61c | 8,432$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.69 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…c678backed No | 80c | 8,261$6,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 38c | 4,068$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.89 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes | 41c | 3,883$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 40c | 3,862$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.68 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 23c | 3,553$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.47 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed No | 58c | 3,025$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 3,007$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.08 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 33c | 2,890$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.73 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 61c | 2,840$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.29 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 34c | 2,666$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.54 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,286$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.9 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 67c | 2,234$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.31 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,984$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.83 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Yes | 2c | 1,980$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 3cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,900$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.04 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 56c | 1,895$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.77 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 67c | 1,763$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.74 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 1,740$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.38 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 62c | 1,583$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 1,387$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.46 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 1,384$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.51 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.11 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 1,116$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.38 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 1,080$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.19 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 80c | 1,069$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.88 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked No | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 37c | 948.46$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.34 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 929.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 41c | 891.29$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 61c | 798$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 41c | 793.53$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.09 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 59c | 791.19$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.32 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Yes | 42c | 739.7$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 44c | 696.02$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.36 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 50c | 682.51$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.85 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 54c | 616.2$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.02 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 72c | 551.91$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.62 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 20c | 523.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…b07abacked No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes | 19c | 447.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 40c | 393.6$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 45c | 372.25$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.41 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 42c | 362.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 330.77$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…9f69backed Yes | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 47c | 306.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 49c | 281.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked No | 60c | 280.52$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 57c | 274.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 42c | 264.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Yes | 4c | 258.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 247.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 70c | 238.96$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 45c | 229$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 53c | 222.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 70c | 214.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 58c | 208.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 41c | 205.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 28c | 203.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 67c | 199.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 39c | 197.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 29c | 197.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 39c | 183.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 29c | 181.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 58c | 180.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 54c | 171$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 59c | 149.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 56c | 146.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 144.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 68c | 144$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 143.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 61c | 139.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 41c | 132.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 44c | 131.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…3b4cbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 18c | 126$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 77c | 121.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 44c | 121$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 41c | 120.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 58c | 120.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.