TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Yes37c8,151$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.661,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No58c7,230$4,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,206.0453040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked No2c6,250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed No2c6,250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed No2c6,200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick3cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No13c5,478$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.9352639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed No3c3,250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No25c3,220$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.561,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No13c2,895$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.31717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes19c2,808$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.053923.1%9 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c2,700$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.511,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No79c2,218$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.7232848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No14c2,199$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.692917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes21c1,911$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.94751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No38c1,464$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.711,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No66c1,214$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.8216437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes22c1,177$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.173751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes65c1,000$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3524868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes61c814.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9812751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes79c755.3$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.31266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No79c754.43$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5961283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No62c752.3$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.7723953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No79c504.55$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.559747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No10c500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.513228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes64c468.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.741573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No25c411$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.73946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No35c410.44$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.885954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc730…236dbacked No79c403.22$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c401.44$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No24c389.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.657327.4%20 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No32c388.75$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes22c328.76$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.868344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No12c328.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes24c315.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24099340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes77c298.71$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9113464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes25c293.38$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.18742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes25c284.62$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.081060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No21c270.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.694845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No37c263.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6819641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed No17c241.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.891735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.12025%5 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed Yes22c209.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.251414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Yes76c208$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.922437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Yes79c189.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+116.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No54c184.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.175850%29 W · 29 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No10c167.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.763040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes21c162$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.981,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No61c155$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5527344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No77c140.52$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.212654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes21c138$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0252923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3de…b025backed Yes38c130.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.825100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+163.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Yes70c128.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.792479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No77c122.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8719852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed No36c120.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.241776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No17c118.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1620252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes24c118.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.265234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3942…0039backed Yes80c116.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes28c113.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked No36c113.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.892065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No55c112.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.254953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b9…f9ebbacked Yes55c110.56$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.751070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…5449backed Yes21c108$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+368.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No20c105.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.048624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No30c103.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.46453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes21c102.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.717341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes22c95.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2839435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…470dbacked Yes22c93.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes33c86.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9619073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No14c85.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8910840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes73c83.76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.744868.8%33 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No78c80$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.21050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No55c79.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6928721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No78c77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes21c74.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.696352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c71.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.373,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes28c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.222254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c67.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Yes31c64.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.563231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505676.8%43 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No49c61.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes23c61.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes70c61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.333346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed No18c61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.985733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2217…b756backed No17c60.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes22c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.120449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No69c59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7127058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed No20c57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b18…efaebacked No80c53.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.622060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1016159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c46.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No40c46.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.586232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No73c45.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.945450%27 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes24c43.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes75c40.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2bf…95d3backed No76c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c38.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No68c37.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.838246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked No32c35.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.363141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.