South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1e391936c4cf4c630fb7b02be8dcf8aaf1f68b752abc6e459dfce7ac70779c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlante FCof CF Cruz Azul, Atlante FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CF Cruz Azul | 45c | 8,986$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CF Cruz Azul | 34c | 7,394$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.97 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Atlante FC | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.96 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlante FC | 66c | 5,221$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlante FC | 51c | 5,078$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.14 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Atlante FC | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlante FC | 51c | 4,229$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.21 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CF Cruz Azul | 49c | 3,240$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.99 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked CF Cruz Azul | 49c | 2,854$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.06 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed CF Cruz Azul | 45c | 2,791$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.76 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Atlante FC | 64c | 1,573$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Atlante FC | 53c | 1,493$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.78 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed CF Cruz Azul | 49c | 1,252$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.71 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked CF Cruz Azul | 42c | 1,064$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked CF Cruz Azul | 49c | 1,011$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.21 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CF Cruz Azul | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.09 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Atlante FC | 55c | 666.67$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked CF Cruz Azul | 51c | 519.61$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked CF Cruz Azul | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed CF Cruz Azul | 47c | 302$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Atlante FC | 64c | 283.07$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CF Cruz Azul | 35c | 279.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Atlante FC | 54c | 264.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CF Cruz Azul | 33c | 248.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Atlante FC | 63c | 218.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Atlante FC | 66c | 218.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Atlante FC | 64c | 210.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Atlante FC | 63c | 208.79$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Atlante FC | 64c | 201.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Atlante FC | 59c | 198.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CF Cruz Azul | 32c | 157.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CF Cruz Azul | 48c | 140.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CF Cruz Azul | 39c | 140.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed CF Cruz Azul | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Atlante FC | 67c | 98.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Atlante FC | 58c | 92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Atlante FC | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Atlante FC | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Atlante FC | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed CF Cruz Azul | 40c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Atlante FC | 64c | 55.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed CF Cruz Azul | 46c | 52.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed CF Cruz Azul | 50c | 45.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed CF Cruz Azul | 47c | 41.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed CF Cruz Azul | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed CF Cruz Azul | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CF Cruz Azul | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed CF Cruz Azul | 48c | 35.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Atlante FC | 62c | 34.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Atlante FC | 55c | 32.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Atlante FC | 67c | 32.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Atlante FC | 64c | 31.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…be4bbacked Atlante FC | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Atlante FC | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Atlante FC | 67c | 26.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Atlante FC | 64c | 26.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Atlante FC | 63c | 16.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Atlante FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.