TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed No51c9,008$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,556.4334747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes49c3,861$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.549136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c2,106$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.128,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes48c1,436$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.923,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes47c1,336$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.4175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No50c1,209$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.261,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c783.23$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.451,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes49c438.04$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.311,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c375.32$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.235,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked No26c277.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.531361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c261.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.421,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed No68c238.75$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c216$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f0…c32dbacked Yes74c204.54$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.181136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes42c195.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.621044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes79c193.88$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8151750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…611cbacked No52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes56c188.13$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6233152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes50c183.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9215045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes55c182.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes43c182.49$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6955250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes61c179.82$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9646449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes59c158.88$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4969453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes58c141.38$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6850656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No49c120.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes59c116.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9835246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No48c114.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3860156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No26c99.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.821,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes42c69.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed No29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205046%23 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yes62c65.05$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.472254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Yes73c57.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.415554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes47c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5489645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1935046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes49c44.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.82,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Yes56c43.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.078760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.184440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d20…05c8backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes50c38.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0666837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed No63c36.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7115364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Yes46c34.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.782536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6127549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.216762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes49c28.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5727349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee41…2e5cbacked No40c25.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.516845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Yes49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No52c22.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8919040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3309…209dbacked No58c21.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.612454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Yes64c18.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.614560%27 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed No61c18.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes74c17.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4611861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa70d…01c1backed No68c14.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.