TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,624 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c2,061$1,168 inLost-$1,167.658,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c1,566$638 inWon+$928.1451750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c407.18$146 inLost-$146.133,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over52c407.06$210 inWon+$197.3289645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under66c360.52$239 inLost-$238.7564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over67c333$223 inWon+$109.8910651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over46c235.35$108 inWon+$127.1889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over54c173.41$93 inWon+$80.1235246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c154.64$73 inLost-$72.911,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over28c131$36 inWon+$94.751,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over67c115.32$77 inWon+$38.5515045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over55c112.54$62 inWon+$50.651,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over30c99.99$30 inWon+$69.992520%5 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over25c99.06$25 inWon+$74.439149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under54c51.46$28 inLost-$27.8233152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under68c44.12$30 inLost-$3010365%67 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under68c41.79$29 inLost-$28.5246449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under33c36.36$12 inLost-$127549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under49c29.57$14 inLost-$14.476142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4e…150cbacked Under50c23.79$12 inLost-$121747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under53c22.26$12 inLost-$11.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under51c21.11$11 inLost-$10.8160156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb252…3937backed Under71c18.63$13 inLost-$13.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under64c15.64$10 inLost-$10.0569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.