South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11e4ee9771846108eba44bf0dbe3640ae976e13e1322792e571c759bbaf2f37f

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,632 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under	51c	4,973$2,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,541.93	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over	64c	4,009$2,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,443.06	84	44%37 W · 47 L	+11.9wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	38c	3,897$1,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,471.78	347	47.6%165 W · 182 L	+17.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	46c	3,558$1,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,912.88	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under	53c	3,427$1,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,802.82	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under	53c	1,721$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.37	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	54c	1,626$883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.03	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	60c	1,610$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.68	1,439	37.5%540 W · 899 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	51c	1,565$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.31	1,302	50.2%653 W · 649 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Under	12c	1,369$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.09	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	62c	1,239$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.82	197	42.1%83 W · 114 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	45c	1,182$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.56	752	40.8%307 W · 445 L	-17.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	62c	1,083$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.07	1,944	51.3%998 W · 946 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Under	49c	1,022$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Under	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over	54c	788$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.48	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	59c	748$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.68	491	36.3%178 W · 313 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	43c	651.22$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.19	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over	63c	609.66$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.57	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over	63c	609.66$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.57	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over	59c	509$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.69	150	45.3%68 W · 82 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	36c	500.9$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.16	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	54c	453.08$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.8	194	47.9%93 W · 101 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	72c	427.43$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.99	517	50.7%262 W · 255 L	+28.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under	39c	388$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.27	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c6…4727backed Over	59c	366.1$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.1	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	40c	341.41$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.37	1,231	53.9%663 W · 568 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under	41c	300$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	41c	289.64$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.75	668	37.1%248 W · 420 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over	52c	230.91$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.21	552	50.2%277 W · 275 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under	8c	224.35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.38	66	47%31 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under	60c	196.67$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	40c	174.14$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.39	1,282	53.7%689 W · 593 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	45c	174.03$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.47	601	56.2%338 W · 263 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	46c	162.65$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.22	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	43c	158$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.94	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed74…95adbacked Under	23c	149.69$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	75c	135$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	44c	114.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.17	506	56.3%285 W · 221 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Under	41c	113.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.53	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	59c	113.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.74	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Over	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.4	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…5295backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under	51c	99.92$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.59	97	40.2%39 W · 58 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under	55c	96.36$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under	35c	94.77$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.35	190	40.5%77 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	44c	93.48$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.45	694	53.5%371 W · 323 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	49c	83.46$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.56	194	37.1%72 W · 122 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	65c	75$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.25	184	26.1%48 W · 136 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under	45c	70.34$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.34	331	52.6%174 W · 157 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under	42c	69.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over	63c	60.97$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.56	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under	44c	60.43$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.46	464	49.6%230 W · 234 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	36c	57.39$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	2,335	51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	77c	54.62$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.45	898	46.1%414 W · 484 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over	61c	50.69$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.77	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed Over	63c	46.73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.29	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under	41c	45.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over	43c	38.74$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.08	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	52c	38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.24	720	58.8%423 W · 297 L	+29.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under	42c	35.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under	40c	30.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	60	65%39 W · 21 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	39c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	251	47.8%120 W · 131 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over	52c	27.02$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.97	264	65.9%174 W · 90 L	+13.6wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x530b…eb80backed Over	49c	26.35$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over	69c	26$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.06	151	43%65 W · 86 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6935backed Over	64c	25.81$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.29	41	73.2%30 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Under	41c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	62c	21.01$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.07	2,611	54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under	68c	20.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	153	64.1%98 W · 55 L	+14.4wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Over	63c	20.27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over	52c	19.37$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Over	63c	17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.29	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5this page
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC O/U 2.5Over won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Over won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5Over won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.5Under won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 0.5Over won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5Over won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5Over won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5Over won
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Spread: Atlante FC (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Atlante FC won
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Atlante FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event