South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe5c393aaded406789a011516ae8e8998e66bc8a67a65055d951ba2373ab537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 75c | 26,111$19,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.18 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 8,625$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.5 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 56c | 4,557$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.14 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 24c | 4,531$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.37 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 45c | 3,348$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.78 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 37c | 3,336$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.63 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 30c | 2,511$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.71 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 4c | 2,156$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,678$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 50c | 1,529$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.73 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 66c | 1,521$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 46c | 953.51$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 29c | 846.81$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 60c | 839.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 18c | 776.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.64 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 758.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.09 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 735.45$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.98 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 74c | 569.35$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.69 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 51c | 506.22$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.81 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 6c | 503.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.36 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 50c | 433.52$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.03 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 57c | 403$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.54 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 64c | 367.98$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.45 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 59c | 336.46$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 53c | 315.49$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 44c | 294.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 55c | 275.22$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 54c | 215$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 48c | 205.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 43c | 187.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…0c80backed Over | 58c | 173.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 57c | 163$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 161.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 15c | 146.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 30c | 128.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 47c | 126$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 48c | 122.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 112.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9907backed Under | 49c | 106.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 80c | 101.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Over | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 80c | 93.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 31c | 86.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 56c | 85.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 23c | 76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Over | 69c | 72.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 56c | 65.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 19c | 60.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 34c | 60.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…614dbacked Over | 50c | 60.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Under | 45c | 56.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 60c | 55.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 58c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Over | 42c | 46.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 31c | 39.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 55c | 37.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 49c | 35.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 39c | 34.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 80c | 34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 41c | 31.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed74…95adbacked Over | 52c | 30.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 58c | 30.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 47c | 24.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 47c | 23.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 59c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 67c | 20.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Atlante FC won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Atlante FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.