South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a5e81ed1b7645f0d91f93e6a4d7502efa8208cfd3e82698fea87d9a3a1f45e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 3,621$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.96 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 34c | 3,421$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.7 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 65c | 2,264$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.59 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 1,576$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 41c | 1,123$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.04 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 24c | 920.92$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.22 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 857.28$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.19 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 35c | 542.75$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.79 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 61c | 494.37$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.65 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Under | 49c | 408.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 38c | 337.13$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 75c | 326.53$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 32c | 296.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 64c | 294$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Under | 7c | 289.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked Under | 76c | 261.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 62c | 249$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 207$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 57c | 202.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 25c | 198.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 62c | 180.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 69c | 164.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 160.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 36c | 139.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 60c | 138.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 37c | 127.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 111.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 41c | 98.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 23c | 96.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 32c | 84.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 71c | 78.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 31c | 71.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 24c | 69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 25c | 62.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 35c | 51.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Over | 30c | 51.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 32c | 50.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 40c | 49.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Under | 72c | 44.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 37c | 43.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 26c | 40.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed74…95adbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 40c | 36.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…ea64backed Over | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 58c | 32.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 63c | 30.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 63c | 25.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 72c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 66c | 16.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 74c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Atlante FC won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Atlante FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.