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La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No40c3,736$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2494,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes56c3,353$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8823,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed No35c2,837$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes64c1,864$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.554454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No39c1,655$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.311,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No45c1,113$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.283650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes66c876.96$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.649057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No39c856.05$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.8249252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c623.11$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.712,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No38c562.27$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.495918.6%11 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed No40c561.9$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6213347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No42c467.63$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.061,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No38c449.12$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.61,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed No68c428.19$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No37c424.9$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2671,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes61c409.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.096946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes58c397.48$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.462941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes62c391.23$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5611264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0ee…e85dbacked No40c383.65$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No38c376.72$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5970050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No38c370.59$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7869350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Yes59c337.29$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003164.5%20 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3334044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes60c332$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick66cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes59c309.69$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.551450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No40c290.06$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes59c265.41$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.593435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff6…2712backed No41c231.36$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.361060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd872…5228backed Yes60c216.93$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes62c209.68$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304360.5%26 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No32c208.25$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6110127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes61c199.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.996256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No41c199.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.993345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes56c182.22$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.029558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes66c176.25$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.531553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ad…0e3cbacked Yes60c166.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbda…a70dbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes61c161.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3832645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…bb76backed Yes61c160.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.973461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006338.1%24 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a6…3dd1backed Yes62c154.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes31c130.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No39c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.28672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes62c107.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9514759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba97…716bbacked Yes62c106.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No39c102$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.221,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes60c101.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618140.7%33 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes60c101.37$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8212045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eab…78efbacked Yes62c91.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Yes60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Yes38c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.584551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3424048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes61c73.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5617…38fcbacked Yes62c72.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ae…4440backed Yes60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9043…af14backed Yes60c51.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.952560%15 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes59c51.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2211449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Yes59c51.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302763%17 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No40c49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed No41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.784755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed No44c44.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb85f…dfb5backed Yes65c42.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.84812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-78.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde51…f222backed No39c42.72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.062171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked Yes57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.811153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes58c39.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked No70c38.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed No40c32.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.377750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75be…3bbabacked Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes62c31.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6559855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed No46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.656969.6%48 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c96…5099backed Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4436…0e7bbacked Yes62c24.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes63c23.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.769441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes56c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.883354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a2…77a9backed No68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.064100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127268.1%49 W · 23 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed No69c19.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.042065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc080…f9a0backed Yes60c18.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.