La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca48d80dd9667900c5939dd6a0d9811356822687100f06624e10b0c0b1f37526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sevilla FCof Real Madrid CF, Sevilla FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sevilla FC | 62c | 28,339$17,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,875.52 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 11,707$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.23 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Real Madrid CF | 32c | 10,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Madrid CF | 37c | 9,399$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.73 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sevilla FC | 74c | 4,928$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.71 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Real Madrid CF | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…2f27backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Sevilla FC | 65c | 1,540$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.08 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Sevilla FC | 74c | 1,447$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.09 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid CF | 32c | 1,346$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.12 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Real Madrid CF | 25c | 1,092$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.65 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sevilla FC | 77c | 1,058$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Real Madrid CF | 35c | 822.15$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.43 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Sevilla FC | 74c | 538.47$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Real Madrid CF | 38c | 523.32$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Real Madrid CF | 30c | 435.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Sevilla FC | 74c | 372.21$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Sevilla FC | 77c | 360$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Sevilla FC | 65c | 349.95$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 323.73$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Sevilla FC | 67c | 261.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Sevilla FC | 72c | 260.2$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Madrid CF | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Real Madrid CF | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Real Madrid CF | 25c | 179.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 159$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Madrid CF | 32c | 158.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Real Madrid CF | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Sevilla FC | 78c | 135.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Real Madrid CF | 32c | 122.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 121.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sevilla FC | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 97.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 77.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Sevilla FC | 74c | 75.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Sevilla FC | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Real Madrid CF | 28c | 72.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…f911backed Real Madrid CF | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Sevilla FC | 74c | 68.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Sevilla FC | 76c | 63.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 61.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Real Madrid CF | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Sevilla FC | 74c | 58.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Sevilla FC | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Real Madrid CF | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Sevilla FC | 70c | 46.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Sevilla FC | 76c | 43.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sevilla FC | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Real Madrid CF | 32c | 35.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Real Madrid CF | 39c | 32.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Sevilla FC | 78c | 31.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Sevilla FC | 65c | 31.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Sevilla FC | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Sevilla FC | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Real Madrid CF | 40c | 28.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Sevilla FC | 72c | 28.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Real Madrid CF | 40c | 26.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Sevilla FC | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 22.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Sevilla FC | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Sevilla FC | 79c | 18.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Sevilla FC | 73c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Sevilla FC | 73c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Sevilla FC | 77c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Sevilla FC | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.