TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11cf…2674backed Over34c16,684$5,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,669.812161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c14,094$8,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,443.4682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under45c9,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.797656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Over59c8,475$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over55c6,529$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5912475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over34c5,409$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.5956439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c5,337$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.893,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c5,193$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.24,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c3,044$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.0212132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c2,699$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.82,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over57c2,105$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under42c2,076$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.061172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over59c1,600$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.682433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Under45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over58c1,419$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.231369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under45c1,028$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.0922246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c999.78$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.8863757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over70c922.93$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6464146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over55c899.99$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c885.45$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.241,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under45c799.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.996546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Under55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under46c714$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5611741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under45c604.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.777346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over71c564.79$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed Over69c558.3$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over55c546.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over56c447.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Over55c421.82$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under38c368.81$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5933244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe976…8b73backed Under31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+97.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under42c274.81$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.525918.6%11 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c265.51$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under58c250.81$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.813151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over56c242.66$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2113347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c222.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2975051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under41c195.62$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4545250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under57c195.17$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.056163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c186.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.339338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under46c184.69$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.694100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under47c175.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.29443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under42c175.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over55c172.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.113342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over32c171.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3528138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over55c170.57$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.975052%26 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c161.72$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5869350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c159.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Over57c158.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under59c153.19$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8252…e65cbacked Over29c149.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c126.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.281,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c125.85$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9943439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Under49c120.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under43c116$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.128938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over57c109.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under45c107.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.886962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Over57c105.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.592133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Over58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under46c101.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.891127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5517651.7%91 W · 85 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5420845.2%94 W · 114 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5515344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5810752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over35c97.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2437348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Over71c96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.161855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under29c96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.161776.5%13 W · 4 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick43cpaid+89.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.596836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over35c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.49466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over57c89.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0110068%68 W · 32 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5087…2d85backed Over23c82.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8d3…60b0backed Over55c81.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf6f…80adbacked Under50c80.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over55c79.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over58c79.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.681,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under45c74.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2424546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over71c73.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.967750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…6eebbacked Under42c72.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5719…f37fbacked Under30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+148.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Under64c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x514a…9c7fbacked Under67c62.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.681741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over55c62.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.333161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Under68c57.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.43243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under43c55.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.812231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over23c53.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3520253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.