La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x247a669ce04c10cc5bf50b023516cf75095accbc66065f5581a2e7c99dfbdb59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,092$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.82 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 1,879$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.42 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 33c | 1,762$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.61 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 26c | 928.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.04 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 776.84$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.41 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 521.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.73 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 67c | 443.31$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 70c | 441.73$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 31c | 299.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 23c | 279$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 68c | 226.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c2aebacked Over | 25c | 224$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 14c | 199.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 68c | 162.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 14c | 150.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 68c | 143.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 21c | 109.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 35c | 108.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 65c | 81.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 64c | 78.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 36c | 69.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Under | 76c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 64c | 52.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 65c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 69c | 42.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 69c | 41.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…6eebbacked Under | 64c | 39.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 58c | 33.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 65c | 32.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 43c | 29.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 63c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Under | 65c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 66c | 17.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.