TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2a6…3dd1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT6738.8%26 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,533.37
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,854.23
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.9
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$35.14
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$274
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+166.3%+$166.29
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$376.19
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+52%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$294.47
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+276%+$331.26
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$246.52
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,305.26
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$24.01
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+115%+$229.91
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$397
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$437.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.64
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$412.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.