TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$677,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$651,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c197,612$148,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,160.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over28c47,440$13,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,171.374025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under71c41,721$29,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,099.0233538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc428…6992backed Over29c41,626$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under73c39,448$28,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,766.5720955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over28c24,597$6,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,972.111,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…e8fdbacked Over28c21,327$6,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,015.08633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over28c21,047$5,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,893.132,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over28c20,405$5,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,713.4214045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over17c11,415$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.54740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over17c11,226$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.428723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c9,799$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under73c9,683$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.232,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over28c9,135$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.72,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over28c8,500$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.8447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over28c8,000$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.247643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over28c8,000$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.1950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over25c7,998$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.182,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over16c7,951$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.1617748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under74c7,841$5,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over28c7,143$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Over28c7,143$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under76c6,885$5,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.4639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over28c6,300$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.0148441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Over15c6,240$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9366434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9916258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over26c5,537$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.691,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c5,138$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.223,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under72c4,871$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.622,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over28c4,800$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.0144144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over16c4,600$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75612114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c80…60adbacked Over27c4,391$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.781233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-36.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over28c3,937$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.1995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over28c3,879$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb3e…7286backed Over23c3,873$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.75530.9%17 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under76c3,664$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.4765948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…240cbacked Over28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under65c3,422$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.8932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d95…54efbacked Over23c3,198$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.576124.6%15 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over32c3,003$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.3426949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over28c2,800$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78447442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over9c2,722$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under71c2,616$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.628047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over20c2,579$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.9538333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over9c2,563$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.731,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under78c2,544$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.164,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over28c2,311$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65630142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over28c2,229$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.156442.2%27 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over28c2,178$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.428025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under75c2,124$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.8658942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Over34c2,108$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.7610655.7%59 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31f2…0753backed Over27c2,034$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-72.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under72c1,949$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.911,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over18c1,935$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.182,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Over28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over28c1,775$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Over28c1,768$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over29c1,661$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.758723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over32c1,515$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.5937237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5849…c7c7backed Over47c1,401$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Over28c1,400$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39234247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over16c1,391$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.482,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under71c1,301$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.3371638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked Under78c1,286$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.974067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under72c1,260$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.991,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under72c1,232$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.891,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under71c1,228$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.673,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd044…a6febacked Over27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3243633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9562…99d2backed Over26c1,196$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102524%6 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under72c1,184$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.741,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over25c1,180$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29816637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under54c1,165$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.2333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under72c1,141$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.0392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a5…38d8backed Under72c1,129$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.214461.4%27 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over18c1,126$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.232,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b38…2bbfbacked Under73c1,096$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8910450%52 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be6…659bbacked Over2c1,089$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under75c1,087$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.3869534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under72c1,035$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7235150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Over26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26013826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0016…fe14backed Over28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Over22c999.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510720.6%22 W · 85 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8f…2c14backed Over28c999.2$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.792623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Over17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502520%5 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under72c839$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.921,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under71c798.39$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.833,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Over29c777.59$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.53036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over29c775.86$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Over29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over14c699.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9648…846dbacked Over23c697.77$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1607529.3%22 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.