Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x886310bf53eff61ecef5f6b6afbf5ac82080f5520fb719468ab48a6b7e6ad682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 72c | 1,500$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.99 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 1,301$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Over | 46c | 1,240$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.16 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 55c | 676.36$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.36 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 53c | 615.58$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.32 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…fd5ebacked Over | 9c | 557.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…710cbacked Under | 29c | 510.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…47e7backed Under | 28c | 506$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 442.71$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Under | 55c | 370.91$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 7c | 360.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked Under | 54c | 359.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under | 55c | 340$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.01 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 53c | 301.48$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 53c | 295.73$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 235$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 29c | 213.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 191.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 47c | 187.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 55c | 178$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Under | 77c | 167.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 166.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 68c | 136$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Over | 45c | 133.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 115.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 15c | 111.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3ae9backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Under | 77c | 88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…01abbacked Over | 46c | 79.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 78.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 185 | 54.6%101 W · 84 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 59c | 52.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 46c | 35.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 46c | 32.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Over | 71c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 26.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…1945backed Under | 62c | 24.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.