Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x705d24c94b88d608fa938246d6c5a70bffeb3ddca3fa8a578593421fe31b5cb9

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,225 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under	40c	2,568$1,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038.8	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under	40c	2,071$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.4	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	40c	2,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Over	60c	1,250$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	40c	1,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	61c	1,060$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.89	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	54c	948$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.77	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over	55c	727.27$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.27	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Over	62c	645.16$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.16	145	39.3%57 W · 88 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under	7c	605.84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	+7.6wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+183.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over	60c	435.48$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.19	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over	61c	430$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.7	295	58.3%172 W · 123 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…03d4backed Over	60c	330$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over	61c	327.87$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.87	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	40c	299.99$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.71	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Over	60c	259.58$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.83	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under	42c	249.49$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.79	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over	61c	245.9$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.9	432	46.8%202 W · 230 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under	69c	228.31$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.99	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1324…3931backed Over	62c	197.9$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.2	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5824…8e3fbacked Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Over	60c	165.62$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.25	134	38.1%51 W · 83 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f4…4bc8backed Over	60c	160$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	39c	141$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.09	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over	64c	123.88$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.07	201	86.1%173 W · 28 L	+46.2wins	+0.23per pick	63cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	41c	121.19$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.15	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	41c	114.84$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.2	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…01abbacked Over	60c	110.85$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	39c	109.98$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.28	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	41c	107.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.02	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Over	59c	106$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.46	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	31c	102.06$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.14	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Over	60c	101.67$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.67	177	35%62 W · 115 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83e…9f42backed Over	60c	93.93$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.57	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.27	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x831a…e8e6backed Over	61c	82.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.43	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7f…3797backed Under	39c	81.97$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.97	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70bd…3ecfbacked Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	162	30.2%49 W · 113 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x861b…d8cabacked Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Over	60c	80$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d12…9591backed Over	61c	79.02$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.82	136	20.6%28 W · 108 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Under	40c	65$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over	60c	65$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	103	47.6%49 W · 54 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…e080backed Under	41c	60.93$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8378…0090backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	116	60.3%70 W · 46 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e76…43f8backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	146	53.4%78 W · 68 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c48…1c17backed Over	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3f…66e5backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf31…3255backed Over	60c	49.59$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.59	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02e0…9633backed Over	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under	39c	41.31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	365	58.4%213 W · 152 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…a53cbacked Over	59c	33.96$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.96	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86be…62d0backed Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	167	40.7%68 W · 99 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7df…9e41backed Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c6f…5daabacked Over	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	102	63.7%65 W · 37 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Under	68c	28.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2814…b0ccbacked Over	60c	28.33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.33	177	38.4%68 W · 109 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under	69c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	224	52.7%118 W · 106 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed Over	59c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	145	57.9%84 W · 61 L	+12.5wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Over	60c	21.67$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.67	203	54.7%111 W · 92 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x436d…dadebacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	174	60.3%105 W · 69 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…e2e7backed Over	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ea…7b04backed Over	59c	19.94$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.26	48	66.7%32 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event