TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,733 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over35c42,120$14,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,652.237416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under65c37,500$24,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,949.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under66c21,587$14,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,383.3377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over34c20,032$6,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,810.8121029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c14,980$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.573,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over24c13,245$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.522,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c13,061$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.6151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under65c11,809$7,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,157.551,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over37c9,368$3,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,452.4524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over25c8,057$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.9664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under66c7,979$5,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.841,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c7,621$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.312,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over34c7,564$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.512,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c6,879$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under57c6,516$3,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.3344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over34c6,169$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.4615843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over19c4,203$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Under67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3203043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c3,494$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.044,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under67c3,452$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.091,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over14c3,001$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.21,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under66c3,000$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over20c2,937$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.2233438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c2,613$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over30c2,393$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.0485851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over34c2,206$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over35c2,154$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over21c2,125$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.292,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c2,055$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.761,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over35c2,006$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under66c1,713$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.3161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over28c1,643$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under66c1,600$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54437850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over19c1,529$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5225942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under66c1,507$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.2564443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under47c1,487$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.8832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…5ad0backed Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c1,443$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.912,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under66c1,400$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47638351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over1c1,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under65c1,333$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.5434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over9c1,312$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over19c1,249$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3720150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over35c1,220$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.637847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under66c1,204$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.223,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40827845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over4c1,125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over26c1,112$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.292,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over34c1,059$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over19c1,057$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.64,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over47c1,015$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.221,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under66c1,009$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.271,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Over34c999.98$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.998425%21 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3e…383abacked Over35c961.34$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.471127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+90.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over52c941.17$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.531,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over34c920.76$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31518742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over34c880.64$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.657136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over24c835.14$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.282,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under63c812.26$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.2821143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over34c802.94$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27346223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over34c800$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.51,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under66c771.78$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.212,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over19c750$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under67c744.45$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.6767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over47c724.26$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34024242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under63c709.33$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4536250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over46c709.3$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.271,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Over38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2663839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under66c696.32$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.7576551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over25c644.22$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over34c613.06$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.492,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20439050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20438451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e2a4backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over35c579.63$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.875621.4%12 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Over35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over34c537.03$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.182,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under75c530.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0723440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under63c518.56$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8738745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over34c514.71$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17517938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over34c512.51$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over24c507.16$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.441,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over33c506.21$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0548937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over40c502.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over33c501$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3361752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Over9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Over7c499.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over21c494.04$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4127032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over37c487.65$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.371,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over34c476.18$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.915440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.