TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,115 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under22c2,664$586 inLost-$586.0334249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…5ad0backed Over78c2,538$1,980 inWon+$558.357252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,100$11 inLost-$11948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under10c900$90 inLost-$905139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Under4c676.58$27 inLost-$27.062744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd75f…497ebacked Under6c628.73$40 inLost-$39.633023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Under11c583.15$64 inLost-$64.1519247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked Under20c544.29$109 inLost-$108.868853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under17c382.8$64 inLost-$64.152,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under5c267$12 inLost-$12.122,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over80c238.04$190 inWon+$47.6192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over74c225.36$167 inWon+$58.2520186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over80c224.3$179 inWon+$44.973,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66b…494bbacked Over76c201.76$153 inWon+$48.583557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over32c176.13$56 inWon+$120.512,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under12c147.8$18 inLost-$17.745724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Under14c147.58$21 inLost-$212722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under9c146.04$12 inLost-$12.472,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…a42abacked Under21c145.12$30 inLost-$30.096618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over78c128.27$100 inWon+$28.272352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Under32c120.09$38 inLost-$3847321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over63c105.05$66 inWon+$38.759237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under32c104.78$33 inLost-$33.234,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over24c100$24 inWon+$7658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under20c100$20 inLost-$207448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d8…7ba2backed Over75c100$75 inWon+$254551.1%23 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over32c99.53$32 inWon+$68.021,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Over78c90.96$71 inWon+$20.016070%42 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over78c77$60 inWon+$16.942,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over80c71.92$58 inWon+$14.423,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…8586backed Under20c71.66$14 inLost-$14175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09a3…3dedbacked Under22c60.72$14 inLost-$13.651612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Under24c57.58$14 inLost-$144839.6%19 W · 29 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+126.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked Under24c57.58$14 inLost-$143030%9 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+82.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under34c54.75$18 inLost-$18.378048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a85…23b6backed Over68c44.75$31 inWon+$14.171060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4346…f897backed Over79c25.44$20 inWon+$5.4418056.1%101 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over71c24.71$18 inWon+$7.182,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95f…1d48backed Over80c15$12 inWon+$33100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.