Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3786ca558b4aff17102ef654ffcfd782fa0ca42184f4e2e521fd7974003c89f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…fe99backed Over | 25c | 1,398$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.39 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 1,176$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.1 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 32c | 1,024$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.63 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Over | 24c | 999.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…775bbacked Over | 25c | 973.56$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.39 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked Under | 76c | 742.11$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.11 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Over | 25c | 616.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…68b1backed Over | 24c | 574.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Under | 76c | 547.93$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 512.21$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 23c | 427.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 24c | 419.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Over | 7c | 419.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…37eebacked Over | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ff…01d0backed Over | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 25c | 322.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 75c | 300$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Over | 25c | 203.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed Under | 76c | 203.38$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…3c97backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 25c | 199.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 76c | 184.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 75c | 174$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 75c | 167.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed Under | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 76c | 143.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 114.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 54c | 111.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 56c | 107.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 59c | 100.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…9bfabacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…9fcbbacked Over | 25c | 97.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…f4b5backed Over | 26c | 92.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Under | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6d75backed Over | 25c | 58.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 76c | 50.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…078fbacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 48.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 76c | 47.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…4d0abacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…dd03backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x573f…4eb3backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under | 76c | 26.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 79c | 21.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.