TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$493,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over71c35,752$25,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,345.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under30c16,021$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,820.43,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under3c15,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504524.4%11 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+183.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c14,158$5,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,488.334,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under29c13,036$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,807.0344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over70c12,324$8,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.962,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under38c11,860$4,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,501.5328229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under4c10,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under29c8,340$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under7c7,773$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.985139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x12a9…af78backed Under4c7,262$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.473514.3%5 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked Under8c6,245$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.312330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under18c4,370$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.2839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c4,367$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.352,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over60c4,145$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.2359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Under3c4,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203525.7%9 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick6cpaid+327.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over66c3,663$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.2420186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under53c3,536$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.959650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under1c3,518$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.359323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c3,505$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over71c3,500$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.8811561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under38c3,451$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.315459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under46c3,373$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.2564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under13c3,333$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.8651514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under3c3,298$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.942020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47ec…10a0backed Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7403652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca6…5aa7backed Over78c2,958$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.871662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c2,581$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.414,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under41c2,464$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.3425942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under39c2,430$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.8616050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over58c2,429$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.573946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Under3c2,400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under30c2,181$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over59c2,165$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.8727032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under35c2,152$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.4724533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over70c2,152$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.6836539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c2,113$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.961,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under52c2,049$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.744344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under29c2,026$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.5677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under2c1,833$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under30c1,784$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.451,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over70c1,752$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.662,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over62c1,700$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0536234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under2c1,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed Under28c1,650$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4621838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under29c1,482$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under29c1,466$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.913,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2837223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over69c1,412$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.6335424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.456550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over74c1,346$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.534,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under1c1,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.913530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d9c9backed Over71c1,321$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.111776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Over69c1,222$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.27431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under30c1,094$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0afb…2bedbacked Over56c1,080$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.64825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid+35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over74c1,072$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under31c1,038$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under62c1,029$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.0419649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over39c1,027$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.6715034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over59c1,024$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.5621641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Under3c999.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.419342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under30c875.29$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.011,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over70c862.96$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.968252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…b89abacked Over72c833.64$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under61c809.5$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6518449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under35c790.31$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over71c773$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.172,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c772.51$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over67c735$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8592732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over77c719.99$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.961,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Over70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.296457.8%37 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over70c713.36$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3534122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Over70c710.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.288742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under2c639.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa88…f759backed Under31c628.06$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over52c608.41$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.912,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17415440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7116…562abacked Over69c577.55$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5520339.4%80 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c564.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6119218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Over71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3814539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under8c562.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under53c557.8$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7715040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Under55c548.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under31c505.81$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.87852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c5…21e2backed Under66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.552055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32021166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9bb…166ebacked Over71c467$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.443063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under3c454.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8246012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under28c446$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.882,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Over68c444$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.089946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under28c436$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.083,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6727655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.