Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7665ad4475ec5dfacaacfb3d478b081db3588d3676502287f45400a2dcfd8f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 9c | 4,938$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.38 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Over | 17c | 2,867$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.63 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 9c | 1,548$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…a739backed Over | 18c | 1,235$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 1,158$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 18c | 957.44$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0c35backed Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 782.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 17c | 705.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…6628backed Over | 16c | 675.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 17c | 641.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…610abacked Over | 18c | 616.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…8ccdbacked Over | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Over | 17c | 564.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc08a…92a4backed Over | 18c | 555.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4d…4b3fbacked Over | 17c | 553.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 16c | 534.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Over | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…c39bbacked Over | 15c | 456.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…18e8backed Over | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 7c | 419.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 9c | 398.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 10c | 391.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 16c | 384.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 16c | 313.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…ed31backed Over | 16c | 303$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…5e01backed Over | 17c | 295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 17c | 280.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Over | 12c | 272.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed Over | 18c | 261.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 17c | 244.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 18c | 156.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7539…19c3backed Over | 17c | 146.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…d454backed Over | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…6a97backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…2eb3backed Over | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…594cbacked Over | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb366…ddb7backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 21cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 17c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Over | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 16c | 86.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…3f04backed Over | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…b241backed Over | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 22c | 69.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…82e0backed Under | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.